Speed Beyond Humans, #16

In April 1860, the Pony Express thundered out of St. Joseph, Missouri, with eighty riders, 400 horses, and 190 relay stations stretching nearly 2,000 miles to Sacramento. Stations were placed every 10–15 miles—the distance a horse could run before exhaustion. Riders, mostly wiry teenagers, leapt from one steaming horse onto a fresh mount in less than two minutes and carried on at full gallop. A mochila—leather saddle cover with locked mail pouches—was thrown across the saddle, carrying the nation’s most urgent communications.

The Pony Express cut mail delivery from weeks to ten days. It carried Lincoln’s inaugural address west and California’s gold rush news east. 

It was a marvel of daring and planning: synchronized stations, recovery schedules for horses and riders, and a rhythm of endurance and precision.

And then, in October 1861, the telegraph lines met in Salt Lake City.

Messages now moved at the speed of electricity. In an instant, the Pony Express was obsolete. Not in a generation. Not in a decade. In just eighteen months.
That is the first leadership lesson of speed: no matter how brave your riders or how fine your horses, once the tempo of technology outruns human capability, courage is irrelevant. Only redesign matters.

Helping Today's Youth Use Foresight with Expert Aino Piispanen

To gain a deeper understanding of the future, begin with the people who will inherit it. In this episode of FOBtv, futurist Kevin Benedict sits down with Aino Piispanen—one of Finland’s leading voices on youth futures at the Hopeful Future project—to confront a stunning reality: young people’s belief in tomorrow is now at the lowest level ever recorded. Together, they explore why hope is diminishing, how loneliness and uncertainty distort imagination, and what it really takes to rebuild a sense of agency for the next generation. From the emotional breakthroughs Aino witnesses in futures workshops to the deeper question of whether today’s crisis is one of reality or imagination. If you care about the world we’re leaving to our children—and the one they’re preparing to shape—this is an episode you won’t want to miss.



*I use AI in all my work.
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Kevin Benedict
Futurist, and Lecturer at TCS
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***Full Disclosure: These are my personal opinions. No company is silly enough to claim them. I work with and have worked with many of the companies mentioned in my articles.

Transformational Energy Units: The Fuel of Change, #15

In 1812 Napoleon marched into Russia with six hundred thousand men, the largest army Europe had ever seen.  His goal was continental dominance.  But dreams do not feed soldiers or warm them through a Russian winter.  As the march dragged on, supplies ran thin, horses starved, and morale cracked.  The farther the army advanced, the weaker it became.  When the survivors limped back across the border, fewer than one-hundred thousand remained.

Napoleon did not lose because he lacked strategy.  He lost because he ran out of energy.  The greatest vision collapses when the fuel runs dry.  That is the essence of Transformational Energy Units (TEUs)—the invisible reserves that power change.  Every transformation burns energy: human, cultural, organizational.  Without replenishment, the march stalls not in one dramatic clash but through slow exhaustion until people cannot carry the mission any farther.

The military strategist John Boyd taught that maneuverability and conserved energy can defeat brute force.  But even the fastest jet stalls without fuel.  TEUs measure whether people can keep learning, unlearning, and relearning when the future pelts them with chaos.  They can be consumed by fear, overload, and uncertainty—or renewed by trust, purpose, and coherence.

Vices and Virtues that Impact Foresight, #14

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How many of us have tried to convince another about the merits of an argument using data, facts, science, evidence and logic, only to make no progress at all.  The biases and lenses we all use to filter information changes our reality and view of the future as the following examples demonstrate.

On a frozen January afternoon in 1982, Air Florida Flight 90 sat on the runway at Washington National Airport. Snow drifted across the tarmac, visibility was low, and ice clung to the wings and engine inlets. Inside the cockpit, Captain Larry Wheaton studied the power readings with a growing sense of unease. “That doesn’t look right, does it?” he said softly—less a warning than a quiet appeal.

His first officer sensed the danger too. The instruments looked wrong. The engines felt slow. Nearby aircraft reported dangerous levels of ice. Yet both men excused their concerns, hoping the other would carry the burden of truth. Their unease grew, but neither spoke with the clarity reality demanded. Weak signals accumulated around them like snow flakes.

Moments later, Flight 90 lifted off with too little thrust. The engines stalled almost instantly, strangled by ice. The aircraft plunged into the Potomac River, killing seventy-eight people.

There was no mechanical failure.

The system did not break.

The humans did.

This cockpit was not simply a tragedy—it was a perfect illustration of moral misalignment: the quiet internal distortions that disable clear perception, distort orientation, and prevent leaders from acting on reality as it actually is. The pilots were not incompetent or malicious. They were human beings under emotional pressure, swept along by subtle vices—fear, deference, denial, avoidance, ego sensitivity. Each distortion was small. Together they made catastrophe inevitable.

Most systems do not crash into icy rivers; they drift, little by little, until the drift becomes distance. And always, misalignment destroys foresight long before it destroys anything else. Every inflection point begins with weak signals. Every future arrives with early warnings. But leaders, teams and organizations who are internally misaligned cannot adequately perceive them.

You cannot anticipate what you refuse to perceive. Let me repeat this point, “You cannot anticipate what you refuse to perceive.” Weak signals register only in systems that are aligned enough—internally clear enough—to let discomfort become information that is acted upon. 

Flight 90 was surrounded by signals: ice on the wings, abnormal power readings, sluggish acceleration, warnings from other pilots. But misalignment muffled those cues until they were no longer signals—only noise.

When leaders and organizations lose alignment, they lose their future.

Practicing & Navigating the Future, #13

Imagine being assigned to repair a complex machine without proper instructions. You know it should function, but you’re not sure whether the leftover screws, washers and roll of red wire are optional or the reason it doesn’t turn on. That’s what leading without foresight feels like.

Frank Diana, principal futurist at Tata Consultancy Services, argues foresight is the instruction manual for navigating the future’s chaos. Only his manual doesn’t give you a single design—it lays out multiple possibilities.

Frank Diana’s Map of the Future

Diana’s core idea is simple: stop predicting one future and start preparing for many different possibilities. He calls the method possibility chains. Picture them as dominoes. One disruption triggers another, then another. Generative AI enters the office, hiring patterns shift, training budgets move, spans of control widen, real estate needs shrink, tax bases wobble, regulations evolve. Each trigger is a link in a chain, and together they form a picture of how the future might branch.

This is what makes Diana distinct. He isn’t interested in trend lists that sit in slide decks; he’s interested in how trends connect, converge, multiply and amplify. Foresight isn’t prophecy; it’s practice. Leaders rehearse possible branches the way pilots run simulators—so when turbulence comes, muscle memory kicks in.

The Great Energy Rethink with Expert David Carlin

In this episode of FOBtv, we tackle one of the most urgent questions of our time: Can the world grow richer without cooking the planet? Our guest, David Carlin, argues that we’re framing the climate challenge all wrong. The real goal isn’t to use less energy—it’s to use cleaner energy, and that shift in mindset radically reshapes how we think about growth, development, and the future of global prosperity.

Take a deep dive into the report: https://lnkd.in/ezQC8abU
Subscribe to Watch: https://lnkd.in/eMZitkhz 
Listen on Apple Podcasts: https://lnkd.in/dKrmUPmS


*I use AI in all my work.
************************************************************************
Kevin Benedict
Futurist, and Lecturer at TCS
View my profile on LinkedIn
Follow me on X @krbenedict
Join the Linkedin Group Digital Intelligence

***Full Disclosure: These are my personal opinions. No company is silly enough to claim them. I work with and have worked with many of the companies mentioned in my articles.

Loops, Truth, and Tempo: The Strategic Genius of John Boyd, #12

John Boyd never got queasy on a carnival ride. He loved loops. He flew them, he studied them, and eventually he turned them into one of the most powerful strategic tools of the modern age. In the cockpit, loops were his edge—rolling, climbing, and diving until he was behind his opponent in forty seconds or less. Later, in briefing rooms filled with generals and CEOs, loops became his metaphor for how to outthink, outmaneuver, and outlast any rival.

Boyd was a U.S. Air Force fighter pilot, but calling him that undersells him. He was part pilot, part mathematician, part philosopher, and part troublemaker. He asked questions nobody wanted asked, and once he started, he wouldn’t stop until you saw the world differently.

The 40-Second Rule and Energy–Maneuverability Theory

Boyd’s legend began in the cockpit. They called him “40-Second Boyd.” His standing bet was simple: start in any position, and within forty seconds he would maneuver behind you for the kill shot. Nobody could beat him. What made him unbeatable wasn’t just raw reflexes—it was science. Boyd created the Energy–Maneuverability Theory, which quantified aircraft performance in terms of energy gained or lost during combat. Suddenly, dogfights weren’t just instinct—they were math. Pilots who flew by feel now faced someone who could calculate their every move in joules of energy. That gave Boyd an unbeatable edge and reshaped how aircraft were designed and flown.

The Birth of OODA in the Sky

To understand why Boyd created the OODA loop, you need to imagine the cockpit of a fighter jet in the middle of a dogfight. The airframe is rattling under g-forces that press your body into the seat like a lead blanket. Your vision tunnels. Blood drains from your brain. Every turn, climb, and dive squeezes your body until you fight to stay conscious. At the same time, you are calculating airspeed, altitude, fuel, weapons, enemy position, and the physics of the sky. One hesitation—one wrong assumption—and you are dead.

Boyd thrived in this environment. He constantly observed what the enemy was doing, oriented himself in relation to the changing situation, decided on the best maneuver, and acted—all before the other pilot could finish their thought. In aerial combat, that tiny advantage in loops meant life or death.


Fighter pilots in dogfights have to track dozens of variables at once: the position of the sun blinding the canopy, the enemy’s angle of attack, the feel of the jet shuddering near a stall, the shrinking margin of fuel, the blur of tracers arcing past. Every second, the environment changes. Every second, new data floods in. The pilot who loops through that chaos faster seizes the initiative and forces the other to react on stale information. That is the heart of OODA—speed to truth.

Hype, Value and Future of AI with Gartner Expert Deepak Seth

In this high-energy episode of FOBtv, TCS futurist Kevin Benedict sits down with Deepak Seth, Gartner Director Analyst and leading expert in Data, Analytics, and Artificial Intelligence, for a rare inside look at how AI is truly reshaping the enterprise. This isn’t another hype-driven discussion. Deepak cuts through the noise to reveal how organizations are actually extracting value from AI—what separates real transformation from empty experimentation, why analytics is evolving far beyond dashboards, and how top companies are collapsing the gap between data, decision, and action.



*I use AI in all my work.
************************************************************************
Kevin Benedict
Futurist, and Lecturer at TCS
View my profile on LinkedIn
Follow me on X @krbenedict
Join the Linkedin Group Digital Intelligence

***Full Disclosure: These are my personal opinions. No company is silly enough to claim them. I work with and have worked with many of the companies mentioned in my articles.

Rome, OODA & the Importance of Loops, #11

Everything alive runs on loops. It’s how energy moves, how information travels, and how systems learn. A loop is a circle that keeps returning, adjusting, and refining. When loops are healthy, life expands. When they break, decay begins.

Leaders who understand loops stop thinking of organizations as machines and start seeing them as ecosystems—networks of trust, data, and purpose that depend on continuous circulation. Flow, is what keeps them alive.

The Circulation of an Empire

Rome was once the master of loops. Its entire civilization was a circulatory system that moved taxes, grain, soldiers, and loyalty across continents. Money collected in the provinces flowed back into roads, aqueducts, pay for legions, and bread for citizens. Grain from Egypt fed the capital. Roman law built trust that kept trade humming. The empire pulsed with motion, every part nourishing the whole.

Then the flow began to slow. Wealth stuck at the top as elites hoarded fortunes instead of reinvesting them. Emperors silenced dissent. Aqueducts crumbled, and grain reserves ran dry. What had been a living network hardened into hierarchy. Rome didn’t fall in a single night—the drag of friction increased loop by loop.

The same pattern plays out in businesses and nations today. When circulation stops, when feedback is ignored, or energy stops recirculating, collapse begins.

Investing in Sustainability with Banking Americas' Marie Clara Buelligen

In this podcast episode, Marie Clara Buelligen, Head of Sustainable Investment Banking Americas at Societe Generale, shares a candid and strategic perspective on the future of sustainability in business. With deep insights into the intersection of finance, technology, and environmental responsibility, Buelligen explores how emerging tools like AI, digital twins, simulations, and modeling are reshaping long-term sustainability planning and climate risk management. 

Read the full report: https://lnkd.in/ezQC8abU

*I use AI in all my work.
************************************************************************
Kevin Benedict
Futurist, and Lecturer at TCS
View my profile on LinkedIn
Follow me on X @krbenedict
Join the Linkedin Group Digital Intelligence

***Full Disclosure: These are my personal opinions. No company is silly enough to claim them. I work with and have worked with many of the companies mentioned in my articles.

Interviews with Kevin Benedict