Humans are not very good at analyzing risk. We are all afraid of sharks, but never give our furniture a second look. We all come with biases, prejudices, paradigms, different education levels and viewpoints that influence and filter the way we think. This is all before we consider normalcy bias. Here is what Wikipedia says about normalcy bias, "It is a tendency for people to believe that things will function in the future the way they normally have functioned in the past, and therefore we underestimate both the likelihood of a disaster and its possible effects." It's reported that 70% of people display normalcy bias during disasters. It's what makes people reach for their laptops and suitcases when they exit a plane during a serious emergency.
Kevin Benedict is a TCS futurist and lecturer focused on the signals and foresight that emerge as society, geopolitics, economies, science, technology, environment, and philosophy converge.
Showing posts with label heuristics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label heuristics. Show all posts
Leadership and Mental Biases in a Pandemic
Humans are not very good at analyzing risk. We are all afraid of sharks, but never give our furniture a second look. We all come with biases, prejudices, paradigms, different education levels and viewpoints that influence and filter the way we think. This is all before we consider normalcy bias. Here is what Wikipedia says about normalcy bias, "It is a tendency for people to believe that things will function in the future the way they normally have functioned in the past, and therefore we underestimate both the likelihood of a disaster and its possible effects." It's reported that 70% of people display normalcy bias during disasters. It's what makes people reach for their laptops and suitcases when they exit a plane during a serious emergency.
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Interviews with Kevin Benedict
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